Good news, bad news. That's the way things look. What do they come out to?First, the bad news for the White House. Mike Huckabee ties the President in a poll, Mitt Romney and Donald Trump get close, and Sarah Palin still gets crushed. This poll seems a bit outside of the norm of late, and shouldn't be taken as gospel yet. Remember, the President hasn't begun to campaign yet, which is something he will do at some point, and he's good at it. Donald Trump seems a lot cooler now, before he has to defend himself.
Then, there's the good news. The President is doing pretty damn well in the south. In Mississippi, his approval is 47.1%. That's impressive! If I had to guess right now, he'll perform better than expected down there. If the GOP nominates a Romney, or anyone else who is not sufficiently conservative.
Taken together, it's going to be tough to beat the President. Any GOP nominee will have to really play up their conservatism to bring back the southern states, and then hope they can win up in the Northeast and "blue states," or the states least likely to approve of that. Winning the popular vote may be close to impossible for the GOP in 2012, and the electoral college is going to be threading a needle.
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