Tuesday, February 15, 2011

Senator Corker Safe- Sort Of.

Senator Corker is likely to be re-elected- unless Former Governor Phil Bredesen gets in the race.
In a new PPP poll, Corker fends off several Democratic candidates, but trails Bredesen by five points, 46% to 41%. None of the other Democratic challengers even came close in the poll.

Corker led Rep. Jim Cooper 50% to 32%; topped former Rep. Bart Gordon 52% to 29%; and bested former Rep. Harold Ford Jr. 55% to 32%. And in two bonus fantasy match-ups, Corker led former Tennessee Senator and Vice President Al Gore 53% to 38%, and beat country singer Tim McGraw 50% to 28%.
Bredesen left office this year afters erving two terms as governor and remains extremely popular in the state. In the poll, 63% of respondents had a favorable opinion of Bredesen, versus 19% who viewed him unfavorably.

Corker, meanwhile, has a tepid approval rating, with just 42% of Tennesseans approving of his job performance, and 36% disapproving.

So, what's the odds he runs? I'd say 50/50. Bredesen is more conservative than a lot of the Democrats in DC, but he's a pragmatist at heart. Tennessee is tough in a Presidential year for a Democrat, however he does better than everyone else. Bredesen kind of has to run if he wants a future in politics though- he's done as Governor, and Senator Alexander is tough to beat. So, if Bredesen wants to be politically involved, he'll get in here. If not, Senator Corker will cruise.

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