Saturday, January 29, 2011

Poll: Huckabee Leads Iowa, Romney New Hampshire


GOP consulting firm Strategic National polled Iowa and New Hampshire. Their results?

Mike Huckabee 28%, Mitt Romney 19%, Sarah Palin 12%, Newt Gingrich 12%, Tim Pawlenty 4%, Michele Bachmann 4%

Mitt Romney 34%, Mike Huckabee 14%, Sarah Palin 13%, Newt Gingrich 9%, Tim Pawlenty 5%

What this says? Romney is the front-runner, Huckabee the top challenger. Palin, Gingrich, and Pawlenty all have a chance, but probably only if they show very well in Iowa. This leads to the main question, should Romney go for it in Iowa, or lay-up and take some delegates? If he goes for it, and comes in behind anyone besides Huckabee, it may kill him in New Hampshire, where he looks strong. For Gingrich or Palin, simply beating Romney may catapult them in this race. The wild-card here? Huckabee says he won't enter until summer. So, is he going to enter at all? Or, will he be weak then? If he's a non-factor, it's wide open. Interestingly enough, no sign of Haley Barbour here. I would think he needs to be a competitor in Iowa.

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